Saturday, June 30, 2007

ecklectic: wedding album

Ecru Linen Wedding Album with Burgundy Satin Ribbon
ecru linen wedding album with burgundy satin ribbon

lovely and simple and unfussy -- even with the foofy satin bow, and i'm not usually a foofy-bow sort of girl. perhaps they custom-make? hardbound embossed album with 50 archival pages, each with a glassine overlay (fancy!). the font is... (come on font nerds...) futura??
i say futura. sweet! more options at ecklectic.etsy.com

PARIS - men's fashion SS 08 shows + kenzo origami island party, maison de l'architecture les r�collets, 06/29/07













A Reading for the Pigou Club

Several readers email me to commend this piece by Charles Krauthammer. An excerpt:
This country desperately needs better gas mileage. But it does not come free. The most efficient and equitable way to both increase mileage and reduce gasoline use (increased mileage alone can induce people, perversely, to drive more) is with a new gasoline tax, refunded by means of reduced payroll taxes to make it revenue neutral. But there is absolutely no congressional or administration support for that, because it is too honest and open an acknowledgment that there is no free lunch. The reason Congress loves corporate average fuel economy (CAFE) standards is precisely that they hide the cost -- in the sticker price of a new car. Whatever blame there is for the unfairness of life -- that energy efficiency is not free -- goes to the auto company rather than the mandating body, namely Congress.

Friday, June 29, 2007

Ranking Econ Departments

I recently stumbled upon this ranking of economics departments based on the jobs their PhD students end up with. I have not completely studied the methodology, but I won't object to the results reported in Table 1.

The Odd Couple

Earlier this month, the Harvard Crimson profiled Brad DeLong and Andrei Shleifer.

The Preppy Wedding Clambake

A preppy reader, Elizabeth, e-mailed about her summer 08 wedding in NYC. Her big concern was making their clambake reception more sophisticated. After doing a lot of research on all that clambaking entails, I saw that the "theme" of a clambake could/would make her wedding seem more like a backyard bbq. So, I took a breather and decided to approach it more like a really Gatsby-esq sophisticated, beautiful and prepptastic garden party.

I started with thinking about how she could handle the set up. Elizabeth will be having the reception at an outdoor club, so I think two great big white tents are the way to go. One tent can be used for the clambake preparation and the bar/dancefloor and one tent can be used for seating. It's in the seating tent that you can create the sophistication and look that you crave.


I loved the thought of an afternoon wedding at a small historic chapel, with guests waiting to celebrate the couple who would be leaving in what else - an antique white rolls royce. I love the thought of ivory and green and the brides dress (a steal at $850) is so simple, yet so beautiful. I also like the though of guys in sportscoats and kakis and I love bringing green in for the bridesmaids dress (the ones pictured are by vucouture). If you wanted to make it a litte more formal, do navy suits for the guys with coordinated green ties.


And I think you should take the ivory and green and incorporate it into the rest of the wedding details:


  • A beautiful tablescape like this one pictured. White chairs, white linens, ivory hydrangeas in silver vases and hints of green through tableware.

  • A simple cake in ivory that is covered in the same ivory hydrangeas with a touch of green berries.

  • Have custom lobster bibs made for guests with your monogram and date

  • For favors, have take home lobster crackers waiting for guests at their place setting with a little note attached with ribbon saying "We're taking a crack at marriage"

  • I didn't feature an invite, but this one in honeydew really coordinates with the theme.

Good luck Elizabeth - I hope you have fun with the rest of your planning!


I also hope everyone else in blogland is as ready for their weekend as I am. As I said before, we're throwing a shower for some good couple friends. I promise some pictures for you all next week.

SCOTUS News

Some economic news from the highest court:
Striking down an antitrust rule nearly a century old, the Supreme Court ruled on Thursday that it was not automatically unlawful for manufacturers and distributors to agree on minimum retail prices....The Bush administration, along with economists of the Chicago school, had argued that the blanket prohibition against resale price maintenance agreements was archaic and counterproductive because, they said, some resale price agreements actually promote competition.
Here is a previous post on the topic, including an excerpt from my favorite textbook.

PARIS - men's fashion SS 08 shows + behype.net party with andrea crews and sweatx, paris paris, 06/28/07















Thursday, June 28, 2007

Marron to the CEA

Donald Marron has been nominated to become a member of the Council of Economic Advisers. In 2004, while I was the CEA chair, I hired Donald to be the CEA's chief economist. It was one of the best decisions I made.

It is great to see him back at the the White House. Congratulations, Donald!

Update: The Real Time Economics blog reports that Dennis Carlton will also be nominated for the CEA--another fine choice.

MADRID - sunny afternoon, malasana + gran via, 06/27/07







Wednesday, June 27, 2007

Mr Buffett's Tax Bill

Warren Buffett says he does not pay enough in taxes:

Warren E. Buffett was his usual folksy self Tuesday night at a fundraiser for Sen. Hillary Rodham Clinton (D-N.Y.) as he slammed a system that allows the very rich to pay taxes at a lower rate than the middle class.

Buffett cited himself, the third-richest person in the world, as an example. Last year, Buffett said, he was taxed at 17.7 percent on his taxable income of more than $46 million. His receptionist was taxed at about 30 percent.

You might wonder how Mr Buffett managed such a low tax rate. Most likely, it arose because corporate dividends and capital gains are taxed at only 15 percent. But the corporate income that funded those returns was already taxed at the corporate level, where the tax rate is 35 percent. Mr Buffett seems to be ignoring the first round of taxation. Is it possible that the world's most successful has failed to pierce the corporate veil? (If you want to more reliable data on the progressivity of the tax code, see this old post for numbers from the CBO.)

Even more striking to me is a fact that Mr Buffett did not emphasize: how low his taxable income is. His income of $46 million represents a mere 0.1 percent of his reported net worth of over $50 billion. That is not an impressive rate of return!

Why is it so low? I can think of at least four possible ways investors like Mr Buffet can keep their taxable income, as opposed to their true income, low:
  1. They hold stocks that pay minimal dividends.
  2. They avoid realizing capital gains.
  3. They hold some of their portfolios in tax-free municipal bonds.
  4. They give appreciated assets to charity, getting a deduction for the current market value without ever having to realize and pay tax on the capital gain.

Notice that raising tax rates, as Mr Buffett seems to want to do, would not much affect any of these tax avoidance strategies. Even if tax rates were raised substantially, the tax savvy Mr Buffet probably wouldn't be paying much in taxes as a proportion of his wealth or as a proportion of his true income.

A Reading for the Pigou Club

Tufts University economist Gilbert Metcalf shows how "a national tax on carbon emissions is paired with a reduction in the payroll tax so the reform is both revenue and distributionally neutral."

Leonhardt on Unions

In today's NY Times, David Leonhardt buys into Richard Freeman's pro-union views. David writes:

Since 1980, as union membership has dropped sharply, the share of economic output going to corporate profits has more than doubled.

He could have written:
Since 1980, as union membership has dropped sharply, the natural rate of unemployment has dropped sharply as well.
I have no doubt that making it easier for workers to form cartels would raise wages--at least for those workers in the cartels. But demand curves slope downward. When unions push wages above the equilibrium of supply and demand, the side effects are not entirely benign.

MADRID - sunny morning, malasana, 06/27/07




Tuesday, June 26, 2007

atelierkanawa: kimono hairpin


vintage kimono plum-blossom long hairpin

back to serious posts. something blue! and funky and long and dangly. visit atelier kanawa's store to read more on the dying art of tsumami, or fabric "pinching", practiced in japan since the early 1600s. tsumami kanzashi, flower combs and hairpins, can be worn in weddings and sound like a lovely tradition.

the two tiny bells ring as you walk -- or if you prefer stealth to the altar, you can detach the long strands and wear the flower alone. also available in cherry blossom or chrysanthemum to match the season; a very educational lesson on the stages of geisha and more at atelierkanawa.etsy.com

weekly DBA: intimate moments


this week's david's bridal award: the intimate moments sheet cover

yes, it is what you think it is. "for love's messy moments."

a part of me thinks it not entirely a bad idea...
just... so... well... ...hmmph.
stumped what to say. another DBA for you.
(what's a DBA?)

SUMMER EURO TOUR.


These next weeks I don't think I'll be often at home, here's my sunny
line-up:

June 27: Madrid
June 28 - July 5: Paris (Men's shows)
July 6 - 8: Barcelone
July 9 - 15: Berlin (Fashion Week)
July 16 - 19: London
July 20 - 24: Amsterdam (Fashion Week
July 24 - 25: Malm�
July 25 - 28: Emmaboda Festivalen (Sweden - to be confirmed)
July 29 - August 2: Stockholm
August 3 - 12: Copenhagen (Fashion Week)
from August 13: London

The Social Value of a Wall Street Career

A student who regularly reads and comments on this blog asks me for career advice, from a social point of view:
How does someone like Warren Buffett contribute to the economy? It seems investing in old line industrial businesses is more of a rent-seeking activity. I take it that people on Wall Street are in some sense parasitical ... yes? Do you still think it makes sense for me to go to work on Wall Street and be, say, an investment manager at a hedge fund? Can one improve an economy's productivity gains by working on Wall street?
I believe it is wrong to view investors, including long-term investors like Buffett and short-term investors like hedge fund managers, as parasitical rent-seekers. Yes, they are motivated by self-interest, but by buying undervalued securities and selling overvalued ones, their actions bring the prices of capital assets closer to fundamental value. Those asset prices govern the allocation of investment resources, which in turn is paramount for the success of the economy. So, while making themselves rich, investors make the economy more productive for everyone--as if led by an invisible hand.

Monday, June 25, 2007

OVIEDO (SPAIN) - the photo assistant, in the backstage of a photo shoot, 06/25/07

The New Deal Revisited

Amity Shlaes says we should not rever FDR's New Deal. John Updike disagrees.

Updike's concluding paragraph is telling:
My father had been reared a Republican, but he switched parties to vote for Roosevelt and never switched back. His memory of being abandoned by society and big business never left him and, for all his paternal kindness and humorousness, communicated itself to me, along with his preference for the political party that offered �the forgotten man� the better break. Roosevelt made such people feel less alone. The impression of recovery--the impression that a President was bending the old rules and, drawing upon his own courage and flamboyance in adversity and illness, stirring things up on behalf of the down-and-out--mattered more than any miscalculations in the moot mathematics of economics. Business, of which Shlaes is so solicitous, is basically merciless, geared to maximize profit. Government is ultimately a human transaction, and Roosevelt put a cheerful, defiant, caring face on government at a time when faith in democracy was ebbing throughout the Western world. For this inspirational feat he is the twentieth century�s greatest President, to rank with Lincoln and Washington as symbolic figures for a nation to live by.
My view: When evaluating political leaders, it is better to trust "the moot mathematics of economics" than "the impression of recovery."

Update: Amity emails me some thoughts:

If we are all so concerned about consumer sentiment, and FDR's famous statement that the only thing we have to fear is "fear itself," then we should take Robert Higgs's argument of the effect of uncertainty on sentiment seriously. Higgs said that FDR caused fear itself with his relentless experimentation. I came to appreciate Higgs a lot writing this book. Keynes too was concerned abt the arbitrary aspect of FDR's policy, telling FDR that he should either nationalize the utilities or leave them alone, but not chase them around the lot every week or so.

What else? Going over the period came to like three people, Irving FIsher, Ray Moley and Benjamin Anderson, a lot. Also Rex Tugwell. His profile is the profile of the economist in government and in policy agony. The policy agony of economists is a big part of the 'thirties story. That period is not much different from today in that regard. Politicians surrounded themselves with name economists and then didn't listen to the economists. Or should I say listened only intermittently.

Preppy Showers .... Some Great Ideas

Hostess with the Mostess has some great ideas for some BEAUTIFUL wedding and baby showers. She also includes what to buy lists for easy execution!

Some of my favorites:

So I spent the weekend getting prepared for the shower next weekend and helping my dad, father -in-law & husband build a small outdoor patio. I learned a lot about the principles of being level. Hope everyone had a great weekend!

LONDON - when the 50's meet the 80's, 06/21/07

BerkShares

A local currency has sprouted up in western Massachusetts. It is called BerkShares. The details of the system suggest that it is motivated largely by price discrimination: People who go through the trouble of converting U.S. dollars to BerkShares get a 10 percent discount on things they buy. In this sense, the system is like discount coupons coupled with a new medium of exchange.

Question for budding macroeconomists: If use of the BerkShare system became widespread, what effect would it have on inflation if

(a) the Fed held the supply of U.S. dollars constant?

(b) the Fed were following an interest rate rule, such as a Taylor rule?

Summers on Inequality

Larry Summers writes about rising income inequality.

Sunday, June 24, 2007

sparklepants: let's move in together card

u-ready
u-ready? greeting card

inside says: "i am." cute! let's move in together. one thought -- not that any gents would be reading the etsywedding blog, but gents, as it were, please note this is *not* a proposal card. sort of like that scene in that so-bad-i-can't-think-of-the-name-and-only-saw-it-in-edited-for-tv- version movie with chris o'donnell where he asks the girl to marry him by saying he feels like it's time to sh*! or get off the pot. noooooo no no. bad robin! bad! more at sparklepants.etsy.com

Are game theorists immature?

The Harvard admissions office seems to think so.

Well, not exactly, but here is what they say in a recent article about Harvard's decision to end its early admission program:
We recognize that there are risks in eliminating early admission....Yet our hope is that the very best applicants�the ones we seek most assiduously�will appreciate the principled stand we�along with Princeton and the University of Virginia�have taken and will resist the pressure to commit to a college before they are fully ready. Historically such outstanding students have exhibited a level of confidence, maturity, and thoughtfulness that separates them from others who may approach the college admissions process more from a game-theoretic point of view.

I have not figured out the optimal strategy for applying to college in a world where some colleges offer early admission and others (such as Harvard now) do not. But if the optimal strategy puts Harvard at a competitive disadvantage, then we had better rethink our policy. I hope Harvard does not make the mistake of thinking those high school students who act strategically "from a game-theoretic point of view" are somehow lacking in "confidence, maturity, and thoughtfulness."

I don't make many forecasts on this blog, but here is one off-the-cuff. I bet that with Harvard and Princeton out of the picture, applications to Yale's nonbinding single-choice early action program will see a considerable boost next year. The interesting question is whether a significant number of top candidates, once admitted by Yale, will choose to forgo a Harvard application altogether.

If that happens, then Harvard will, from a game-theoretic point of view, have to revise its new admissions policy, regardless of how immature that decision might be.

MADRID - on the street, malasana + nasti, nasti club, 06/24/07








 
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